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Nonlinear stability of Kerr-de Sitter for all subextremal parameters

This text mentions work from 2024 on. Those parts were partly written without a live literature search and have not been checked by an editor yet.

In plain words

With a positive cosmological constant, as in our expanding universe, stability is proved for slow spin and is reduced, for all spins, to one remaining check. That check is the absence of exponentially growing modes of the linearized equations, called mode stability.

Precise statement

For Kerr-de Sitter with $\Lambda > 0$ in the full subextremal range, nonlinear stability is proved conditional on mode stability of the linearized gauge-fixed Einstein equation (Hintz, Petersen, Vasy 2025). Prove mode stability for gravitational perturbations of Kerr-de Sitter for all subextremal $(a, M, \Lambda)$, or exhibit a growing mode. An answer is a proof or an explicit unstable mode.

What would settle it

A proof of gravitational mode stability for all subextremal Kerr-de Sitter parameters, which completes the conditional nonlinear theorem.

Status in the literature

Unverified note: it names recent work and was partly written without a live literature search; it awaits a check by an editor.

Slow rotation proved (Hintz and Vasy 2018); the full range is proved conditional on mode stability (Hintz, Petersen, Vasy, arXiv:2508.06620, 2025); scalar (Klein-Gordon) mode stability for all subextremal parameters was posted by Hintz (arXiv:2608.25868, 2026), and gravitational mode stability is open.

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