Is theta_23 maximal, and if not, in which octant? · revision history

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Title
Is $\theta_{23}$ maximal, and if not, in which octant?
Plain
Muon-type and tau-type neutrinos are mixed in nearly equal amounts, but it is unknown whether the mixing angle is exactly 45 degrees or slightly above or below it. Exactly 45 degrees would point to a hidden symmetry between muons and taus.
Precise
Determine $\sin^{2}(\theta_{23})$ in the three-flavor PMNS framework to about $\pm 0.01$ and decide at $\ge 3\sigma$ whether $\theta_{23}=45\ \mathrm{deg}$ is excluded and, if so, whether $\theta_{23}<45\ \mathrm{deg}$ (lower octant) or $>45\ \mathrm{deg}$ (upper octant). NuFit-6.0 finds local minima near $\sin^{2}(\theta_{23})\sim 0.47$ and $\sim 0.56$ separated by $\Delta \chi^{2}<4$ for both mass orderings and both data variants (approximate).
Settled by
DUNE and Hyper-Kamiokande $\nu_{\mu}$ disappearance and $\nu_{e}$ appearance data, using the reactor value of $\theta_{13}$, combined with atmospheric data from IceCube and KM3NeT/ORCA.
Kind
well-posed
Answer type
classification
References
(empty)
Literature status
open
Status note
NuFit-6.0 (2024) leaves the octant unresolved, with the other-octant minimum always within $\Delta \chi^{2} < 4$.
Posed since
(empty)